Weather risk planner
Weather risk for filming in Madrid
Three exterior days in Madrid in March: rain hits at least one with 64 % probability. In July it is 9 %. The tool is set to Madrid — enter your own days.
- At least one day hit
- 64 %
- Expected lost days
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- Cover days to hold
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- Risk per day
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- Rain days in month
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- Sunshine per day
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- Daylight
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- Mean temperature
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Your shoot, played out 20 times
Same number of days in every month — click a month
- risk of at least one lost day
- sunshine hours per day
| Lost days | Probability | This many or fewer |
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Rain risk in Madrid, month by month
Madrid averages 9 rain days in March and 1 in July. A rain day here is any day with at least 1 mm of precipitation, averaged over 2015–2024. The risk columns assume every exterior day can be lost; the cover-day column is what you need to be 90 % sure a five-day exterior block finishes.
| Month | Rain days | 3 days: ≥ 1 hit | 5 days: ≥ 1 hit | Cover days (5 d, 90 %) | Sun/day | Mean temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7 | 54 % | 72 % | 2 | 7.0 h | 5.1 °C |
| February | 5 | 44 % | 62 % | 2 | 8.4 h | 7.5 °C |
| March | 9 | 64 % | 82 % | 3 | 9.2 h | 10.1 °C |
| April | 9 | 66 % | 83 % | 3 | 10.8 h | 13.1 °C |
| May | 6 | 48 % | 66 % | 2 | 12.6 h | 18.0 °C |
| June | 5 | 42 % | 60 % | 2 | 13.3 h | 23.2 °C |
| July | 1 | 9 % | 15 % | 1 | 13.9 h | 27.7 °C |
| August | 2 | 18 % | 28 % | 1 | 12.7 h | 26.8 °C |
| September | 5 | 42 % | 60 % | 2 | 11.0 h | 20.8 °C |
| October | 9 | 64 % | 82 % | 3 | 8.6 h | 15.9 °C |
| November | 8 | 61 % | 79 % | 3 | 7.3 h | 9.7 °C |
| December | 7 | 54 % | 72 % | 2 | 6.4 h | 6.8 °C |
When to shoot exteriors in Madrid
Weighing daylight against rain days, July comes out best: 14 h 47 min of daylight, 1 rain days and 13.9 hours of sunshine a day. The sunniest month is July (13.9 h a day).
The month matters here: five exterior days run a 15 % risk of losing at least one day in July, but 83 % in April — 1 against 3 cover days for 90 % certainty.
Rain days are not grey days: even in March, the wettest month, the sun shines 9.2 hours a day on average. Many of those rain days are wet for an hour, not all day — if your scenes can wait out a shower, lower the share slider in the tool.
Frequently asked
What is the rainiest month in Madrid?
March, with 9 days of at least 1 mm rain on average (2015–2024). The driest is July with 1.
How many cover days should I plan for an exterior shoot in Madrid?
For five exterior days and 90 % certainty: 1 in July, 3 in March. The tool above calculates it for your exact number of days.
Is this a weather forecast?
No — it is climate: what the last ten years looked like on average. From about ten days before the shoot, the national weather service forecast is the better source.